Aggregation Issues of Foreign Direct Investment Estimation in an Interdependent World


Naughton H., Norback P., Tekin Koru A.

WORLD ECONOMY, cilt.39, sa.12, ss.2046-2073, 2016 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 39 Sayı: 12
  • Basım Tarihi: 2016
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1111/twec.12388
  • Dergi Adı: WORLD ECONOMY
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.2046-2073
  • TED Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper attempts to understand foreign direct investment (FDI) heterogeneity and offers useful insights about aggregation issues in FDI estimations by carrying out a spatial econometric analysis using affiliate-level data on sales activities of Swedish multinational corporations around the globe. The results indicate that the multilayered nature of aggregation in FDI matters for empirical analysis. Affiliate-level host-country and third-country sales activity provides evidence of a negative spatial lag or substitution of FDI in space, broadly supporting the export-platform theory. For exports back to Sweden, we find a positive spatial lag suggesting agglomeration of production activities and vertical specialisation. The sequential aggregation from affiliate level to firm and country level provides evidence of a severe scale problem particularly in export-platform FDI. This aggregation bias is likely present in many of the country-level analyses in previous literature.