Simultaneous consideration of the accident and terror risks for hazardous materials transportation


Yılmaz Z., Verter V.

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics, cilt.21, sa.1, ss.1-38, 2025 (SSCI, Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 21 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1504/ijstl.2025.147886
  • Dergi Adı: International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), INSPEC, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-38
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: hazmat transportation, risk assessment, route planning, terrorist assaults
  • TED Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

We develop a methodology that incorporates the risk of terrorist attacks as well as the traditional accident risks. We consider the terrorist attacks against a single hazmat vehicle as well as a convoy including hazmat vehicles. Convoy formations, vehicle placements and movements, terrorists’ attack capabilities are analysed in detail to estimate the undesirable consequences of an attack. A case study focusing on Turkey is developed. The proposed risk assessment method is incorporated in a GIS framework to identify the best paths among the common origin-destination pairs. Our findings indicate the necessity to update the traditional hazmat risk models in terror-prone areas, since there are significant changes in the optimal routes when the terror risk is also included. We suggest that hazmat vehicles should utilise wider, well-maintained roads in the event of a terrorist attack. It is advisable to integrate hazmat vehicles into convoys rather than allowing them to travel independently.